Gearing up for Garoppolo Trade Talks

NBC Television

NBC Television

The NFL offseason is rapidly approaching & the Garoppolo trade rumors are swirling. We will be highlighting the three most talked about destinations are potential fits for Jimmy G as well as the potential cost for each team respectively in acquiring him. 

Patriots Asking Price

The Patriots asking price has been speculated for months and is appears to include at least a first round pick. In December, NFL Insider Adam Schefter joined Kirk and Callahan to discuss a potential Jimmy Garoppolo trade. He put the team's asking price at a 1st + 4th:

In addition, former Patriots QB as well as current Patriots Radio Network color commentator Scott Zolak has sources indicating the team's asking price is at least Cleveland's 12th overall pick and as a 2nd round pick:

Using these two figures, the Patriots asking price is likely somewhere between 1200-1600 points.  We will refer to a draft chart created by Pro Football Talk here: http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/draft/draft-trade-chart/

Pro Football Talk

Pro Football Talk

A team looking to pry Jimmy G away from New England will likely have to part with significant draft capital.

The Teams

The three teams most widely reported to be interested in Garoppolo are the Bears, Browns, and 49ers. We will highlight why each team is interested in trading for him as well as the likely cost involved with a trade.

Chicago Bears

Patriots QB Jimmy Garoppolo chatting with Bears GM Ryan Pace after a joint practice last summer.             BradBiggs/Chicago Tribune

Patriots QB Jimmy Garoppolo chatting with Bears GM Ryan Pace after a joint practice last summer.             BradBiggs/Chicago Tribune

Coming off a dismal 3-13 season, The Chicago Bears are set to trade or release QB Jay Cutler and move in another direction at the QB position. GM Ryan Pace is entering his 3rd season and likely on the hot seat with another poor season. He likely cannot afford the growing pains of a rookie QB in a weak draft class at the position.

Why the Bears are a Fit

  • Jimmy Garoppolo is an Illinois native, playing QB at Eastern Illinois during his college career
  • Bears GM Ryan Pace played defensive end at Eastern Illinois from 1995-1999
  • The Bears are a team built to win now with a strong OL, young play makers in Meredith & White at WR, and Howard along with a talented front seven on the defensive side of the ball.
  • The Bears haven't had longterm stable QB play since Jim McMahon in the 1980s. Superbowl Shuffle anyone?
  • Trading for Garoppolo likely allows the Bears to take one of the defensive stars in the draft at the third overall pick.

Cost

2017 2nd round pick (36th overall), 2017 4th round pick (111th overall), 2018 1st round pick

Total: 612 points + value of Bears future first round pick (about 800 points) = 1412 points

Analysis

The Bears likely will not have to part with their 3rd overall pick in the 2017 draft in order to acquire Garoppolo. This trade allows them to meet the Patriots' asking price while also allowing them to keep their first round pick. However, the Bears would need to make the playoffs next season in order to not surrender a high first round pick to the Patriots in the 2018 draft.  

Cleveland Browns

Garoppolo in clean-up duty against the Browns in a Patriots 33-13 victory last season (NESN)

Garoppolo in clean-up duty against the Browns in a Patriots 33-13 victory last season (NESN)

Ah, the Cleveland Browns. They are a franchise coming off a putrid 1-15 season with over 100 million in projected cap space along with a boatload of draft picks. The RGIII experiment failed, Josh McCown is a free agent, and Cody Kessler is likely not the answer. Where will they turn next at QB? One potential option is Jimmy Garoppolo.

Why the Browns are a Fit

  • Owning multiple first round picks as well as numerous other picks, the Browns have the most draft flexibility in order to meet the Patriots asking price
  • If the Browns retain Pryor & Crowell in FA, their offense has the talent to succeed now with a capable QB
  • The last 3 QBs they drafted in the first round: Brady Quinn, Brandon Weeden, & Johnny Manziel. Perhaps it's time for a different direction than a rookie QB
  • No QB in the draft is worthy of the #1 overall pick & pass rusher Myles Garrett is their likely choice at that spot. The top QB available likely won't last to their 2nd first round pick at #12
  • With the most cap space in the NFL, they can easily afford to sign Garoppolo to longterm deal if he succeeds

Cost

2017 1st round pick (12th overall) and 2017 2nd round pick (52nd overall)

Total: 1580 points

Analysis

This trade meets the Patriots asking price and allows the Browns to draft the best player available in Myles Garrett first overall. While this price may be steep, it is nowhere close to the cost of taking a rookie QB 1st overall (3,000 points). A potential offense of Pryor, Coleman, Barnidge, DeValve, and Crowell led by Garoppolo could give Browns fans something to be excited about next season.

San Fransisco 49ers

Shortly after the Superbowl the San Francisco 49ers hired Falcons offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan to replace Chip Kelly at head coach. His rumored interest in Jimmy Garoppolo puts the 49ers as the dark horse team.

Why the 49ers are a fit

  • Garoppolo's skillset is a natural fit in Shanahan's offense that incorporates RBs into the passing game
  • With the second most cap space in the NFL, The 49ers can add to their offensive skill positions in free agency 
  • Trading for Garoppolo would allow the 49ers to draft the best player available at #2 overall

Cost

2017 2nd round pick (34th overall) and 2018 first round pick

Total: 560 points + value of 49ers future first round pick (about 1,000 points) = 1,560 points

Analysis

The 49ers are a team devoid of talent on both sides of the ball. This trade would allow them to build a team around Garoppolo for the future and add a future star at the pick #2. However, the 49ers roster seems far away from forming a playoff caliber team and trading a 2018 1st round pick could prove risky. 

Prediction

Jimmy Garoppolo is traded to the Chicago Bears sometime before the draft.

Jim Rogash/Getty Images

Jim Rogash/Getty Images

While the Browns are considered the favorite, the Bears will swoop in and give up the necessary draft capital in order to meet the Patriots asking price. The Bears were decimated with injuries last season and their record does not reflect their roster talent. The Bears could compete day 1 in the NFC South as well as the entire NFC with Jimmy G at the helm. The "hometown kid" aspect as well as the Eastern Illinois connection makes the trade a near perfect match for the Bears.